But while we focus on how that decline started and who is to blamewe often forget to consider what happens if our middle class is wiped out entirely. As history and nature both show us, working for the collective good is essential to a functioning democracy, and the natural outcome of that work is a strong and vibrant middle class. The most ancient form of democracy is found among virtually all indigenous peoples of the world. There are no rich and no poor among most tribal people:
Print Barack Obama roared onto the political stage in with a speech many Americans found soothing. The pundits like to slice and dice our country into red states and blue states. The electoral map that emerged on Nov.
Hillary Clinton won the cities and close-in suburbs where affluent professionals, millennials and people of color are clustered. Donald Trump prevailed in the farther-flung suburban, exurban and rural places where residents are disproportionately white and aging. It will take a long time to fully understand why this election turned out the way it did.
But part of it, undeniably, has to do with anxiety about how America is changing. Some voters idealized a picture they grew up with, in which culture and politics were dominated by a white Christian majority.
It might sound unknowable, a kind of crystal-ball exercise with numbers, but in many ways the picture is already becoming clear. The big trend lines in our population are powerful and hard to budge. The next official snapshot will arrive in the form of the Census, which experts project will show an America becoming slightly less white and more diverse: Asian Americans, foreign-born Americans, and those who identify as multiracial will all make up a larger share of the country, while the black population will hold steady.
What happens after that? We decided to find out, sketching a picture of the nation by talking to a range of demographers who specialize in tracking and analyzing American population shifts.
They are experts on race, immigration, aging, changing family structures and urban planning, along with how all these factors affect electoral politics.
They emphasized that demographics aren't destiny. No political party can count on perpetual support from any particular demographic group. But the big changes they study will shape the issues we'll be debating for decades to come. That nation will have gone through two big shifts: It will likely be browner and more polyglot than the America ofand it will also be much older.
Fifty-three percent of the population will be multiracial or nonwhite, compared with less than 40 percent currently. Because the growth of the nonwhite population is driven more by fertility than by immigration, researchers believe this racial shift will occur even if the federal government enacts new immigration restrictions.
Although the Trump administration is setting itself up to crack down on undocumented immigration, anti-immigrant sentiment tends not to depress legal immigration—as long as jobs remain available.
Research from states that passed recent laws targeting undocumented people, like Arizona and Georgia, finds the laws had no significant real-world effect on the number of immigrants living in a state. But that would create a fight with the business community, which relies on access to legal immigrant labor at all levels.
Alongside these ethnic and racial changes, the growth in the population over 85, those most likely to be ill or disabled, will be especially stark. Currently, there are approximately 33 working adults for each American 85 and up ; bythat ratio will fall to 13 workers per American over What all of this means for politics depends on factors that are more difficult to predict — and on battles that might be fought in unfamiliar places.
With rapidly diversifying populations, the swing states of the future may be Oklahoma, Georgia and Texas, rather than Ohio or Pennsylvania, which will, even inremain majority white. Will the cities that have recently exploded in population, mostly in the Sun Belt, remain economically vibrant, or will new growth cities emerge, in other parts of the country?
How will climate change impact where and how people live? Many of those questions are unanswerable for now; they depend on the course of policies not yet formulated. Below, we take a look at three of them: These regions offer hope for a newer America that works smoothly, showing that diversity can drive economic growth.
But they also offer cautionary tales about just how hard it may be to craft a shared American identity in an increasingly multicultural country. Then—all of a sudden!
Like lots of other Houstonians, he is a transplant from the Northeast. He has spent the past three decades tracking the economic and demographic transformation of his adopted home.
There is no racial majority in the Houston metro area. Forty-two percent of Harris County residents are Hispanic; 31 percent are non-Hispanic white; 20 percent are black; and 7 percent are Asian. Between andthe Hispanic, black, and Asian share of the population grew, while the proportion of whites shrank.
Eight years ago, Barack Obama became the first Democratic presidential nominee to win Harris County in over four decades, by just 2 points.
According to a survey of Houstonians conducted by Klineberg and colleagues, only about 20 percent of area residents believe undocumented immigration is a major problem, down from 50 percent in There's a Dark Future for America Coming If We Let the Middle Class Disappear.
stable, well-educated middle class—such as Egypt, Iraq, Iran, and the Palestinian territories—the result is. Will California become America's first failed state? But the state that was once held up as the epitome of the boundless opportunities of America has collapsed.
more economically and.
Nov 12, · Costa Rica continues to rise in the rankings, improving three positions in the past year thanks to a very stable profile and strong institutions.
It has one of the best education systems in the region, a fairly high ICT uptake and a reasonably well-developed capacity to innovate, making it well-placed to move towards knowledge-based activities.
The U.S. economy is facing a future of slow growth, mainly because the labor force is expanding less rapidly. However, there are ways to improve. Given the important role education plays in labor force participation, employment, and wages, investing in education across diverse groups offers an important opportunity to raise the speed limit for economic growth.
Unlike most editing & proofreading services, we edit for everything: grammar, spelling, punctuation, idea flow, sentence structure, & more. Get started now! Americas role for the next century will be to stay economically stable.
That will be no problem unless something disastrous will happen like another Stock Market crash or Nuclear Holocaust. America in the future also needs to increase peace to every nation in the world.